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Securitisation Data Report: European Structured Finance - Q1 2016
13 Jun 2016
Market highlights and commentary According to Eurostat, GDP rose by 0.6% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) in the Euro zone (EU19) and by 0.5% in the EU28 during the first quarter of 2016. Unemployment was 10.2% (EU19) and 9.7% (EU28) as of the end of March 2016, the lowest rate recorded since 2011 (EU19) and 2009 (EU28). Term Issuance and Outstanding Volumes In Q1 2016, EUR 56.9 billion of securitised product was issued in Europe, a decline of 20.4% from Q4 2015 (EUR 71.4 billion) but an increase of 61.2% from Q1 2015 (EUR 35.3 billion). Of the EUR 56.9 billion issued, EUR 14.3 billion was placed, representing 25.2% of issuance, compared to EUR 15.6 billion placed in Q4 2015 (representing 21.8%) and EUR 19.7 billion placed in Q1 2015 (representing 55.9%).For the first quarter, UK RMBS continued to lead placed totals (EUR 5.8 billion), followed by European CLOs (EUR 2.6 billion) and Dutch RMBS (EUR 1.8 billion). Net issuance remained negative, with EUR 1.27 trillion outstanding at the end of 1Q’16, down from EUR 1.30 trillion at the end of 4Q’15. Of this, EUR 718.1 billion, or 56.8%, was retained.
Prudential Data Report: EU GSIBs Prudential Capital and Liquidity - Q1 2016
24 May 2016
Highlights European systemically important banks (or EU-GSIBs1) have improved their capital, leverage and liquidity positions in compliance with the Basel III accord (or CRDIV in Europe). The CRDIV rules comprise minimum requirements on capital adequacy, liquidity and leverage positions, which seek to enhance the soundness of bank’s balance sheets. Notwithstanding the unfounded market turbulence during the first quarter of 2016, EU GSIBs’ capital and liquidity ratios remained resilient in times of stress and above the minimum requirements set by the CRDIV rules. Among the main findings of this report are: EU GSIBs have increased their end-point Common Equity Tier 1 Capital ratio (CET1 ratio) to 11.9% in 1Q16, from 10.0% in 2013. End-point Tier 1 ratios increased to 13.1% in 1Q16, from 10.7% in 2013. Leverage ratios calculated on an end-point basis have improved over the last three years, to 4.6% in 1Q16 from 3.7% in 2013. Available information indicates the weighted average Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) stood at 127.5% in 1Q16, above the minimum required by 1 January 2018 (100%).
Equity Primary Markets and Trading Report: European Market Data Update - Q1 2016
29 Apr 2016
Highlights Equity underwriting in European exchanges accumulated in 1Q 2016, a total of € 20.8 bn in proceeds, a decrease of 66.2% from the value originated in 4Q 2015 (€ 61.6 bn). Equity underwriting encompasses Initial Public Offerings (IPOs), convertible securities and follow-on offerings. Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) between European companies1 totalled € 158.3 bn in 1Q 2016, an increase of almost 100% from the value observed in 4Q 2015 (€ 79.2 bn). Of this, the acquisition of BG Group plc by Royal Dutch Shell plc accounted for 38% of the total deal value during the quarter. Excluding this deal, the increase against 4Q 2015 stood at 23% QoQ. Equity trading activity in European main markets and MTFs accumulated in 1Q 2016, a total of € 3.3 tn in turnover value, a decrease of 3.4% from the value observed in 1Q 2015 (€ 3.4 tn) but 10.6% above the turnover value in 4Q 2015 (€ 3.0 tn). Market capitalisation of European shares stood at € 10.7 tn at the end of 1Q 2016, a decrease of 8% from the value observed in December 2015 (€ 11.7 tn).
Securitisation Data Snapshot: European Structured Finance - Q1 2016
27 Apr 2016
In Q1 2016, EUR 56.9 billion of securitised product was issued in Europe1, a decrease of 20.3% from Q4 2015 (EUR 71.4 bn) and a significant increase of 61.2% from Q1 2015 (EUR 35.3 bn)2Of this, EUR 14.3 billion was placed, representing 25.1%, compared to EUR 15.6 billion placed in Q4 2015 (representing 21.8% of 71.4 EUR bn) and EUR 19.7 billion placed in Q1 2015 (representing 55.8% of 35.3 EUR bn)In Q1 2016, UK RMBS led placed totals followed by Pan European CLOs and Dutch RMBS: UK RMBS decreased from 6.1 EUR bn in Q4 2015 to 5.8 EUR bn in Q1 2016; Pan European CLOs decreased from 3.5 EUR bn in Q4 2015 to 2.6 EUR bn in Q1 2016; Dutch RMBS increased from 0.6 EUR bn in Q4 2015 to 1.8 EUR bn in Q1 2016. Values
European High Yield and Leveraged Loan Report: European Leveraged Finance - Q4 2015
14 Mar 2016
Issuance European leveraged finance issuance (leveraged loans and high yield bonds) decreased in 4Q’15 to €25.6 billion, a 13.3% decrease from €29.6 billion quarter-over-quarter (q-o-q) and a 5.4% decrease from €27.1 billion in 4Q’14. The quarterly decrease stems from the large fall in leveraged loan issuance, which decreased by 30.0% in the fourth quarter of 2015 while high yield bonds issuance increased by 8.0%; the high yield share of the leveraged finance market increased to 54.9%, up from 44.1% in 3Q’15. In full year 2015, European leveraged finance issuance decreased to €171.1 billion, down 16.8% from €205.7 billion in 2014. Leveraged loan issuance decreased by 20.9% to €75.7 billion in 2015 from €95.6 billion in 2014, while high yield bond issuance decreased by 13.4% to €95.4 billion in 2015 from €110.1 billion in 2014./ Market and Economic Environment According to the January 2016 European Central Bank lending survey, in the fourth quarter of 2015, credit standards on loans to enterprises eased further as those on housing loans returned to a net easing, continuing to support the recovery in loan growth. In 4Q’15, euro area banks reported a further net easing of credit standards on loans to enterprises for the seventh consecutive quarter, driven in particular by banks’ competition, while risk perceptions contributed only marginally to such easing. Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2016, euro banks expect a further net easing in standards on loans to enterprises, broadly unchanged standards for housing loans and a return to a net easing for consumer credit. Across firm sizes, credit standards eased more strongly on loans to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) than on loans to large firms. For the large euro area countries, credit standards on loans to enterprises continued to ease considerably in Italy and remained unchanged in the other countries, with the exception of France where they continued to tighten in net terms. Net demand for loans to enterprises continued to increase in 4Q’15, mostly due to the low general level of interest rates. Net loan demand by enterprises increased to 27% in 4Q’15, up from 16% in the previous quarter. Banks reported a net increase in the demand for housing loans and consumer credit as well. The net loan demand for housing loans was 29%, slightly lower than 33% in 3Q’15 while net demand for consumer credit increased to 21% in 4Q’15 from 19% in 3Q’15.
Prudential Data Report: EU GSIBs Prudential Capital and Liquidity - Q4 2015
14 Mar 2016
Highlights European systemically important banks (or EU-GSIBs1.) continue improving their capital and leverage positions during 3Q15, in compliance with CRDIV. The CRDIV rules comprise minimum requirements on capital adequacy, liquidity and leverage positions, which seek to enhance the soundness of bank’s balance sheets. Among the main findings of this report are: EU GSIBs increased their end-point Common Equity Tier 1 Capital ratio (CET1 ratio) to 11.5% in 3Q15, from 11.4% in 2Q15 and 10% in 4Q13. End-point Tier 1 ratios increased in the third quarter of the year to 12.7%, from 12.5% in 2Q15 and 10.7% in 4Q13. Leverage ratios also continue improving in 3Q15, with a simple average ratio of 4.6% in 3Q15 calculated on an end-point basis, from 4.5% in 2Q15 and 3.8% in 4Q13. The findings of this report are consistent with the observed increase in aggregate capital raising since 2009. Since the 2009 crisis, EU banks have raised around €318bn in fresh capital from the markets, of which €254bn is in equity and €64bn in CoCos and other convertible debt (in total about 2.3% of EU28 GDP at current prices). This estimate, however, does not take into account capital raised through internal generation (retained earnings) and balance sheet restructuring.
Securitisation Data Snapshot: Q4 2015
1 Feb 2016
In Q4 2015, EUR 71.4 billion of securitised product was issued in Europe1, an increase of 25.0% from Q3 2015 (EUR 57.1 bn) and an increase of 19.4% from Q4 2014 (EUR 59.8 bn)2Of this, EUR 15.5 billion was placed, representing 21.7%, compared to EUR 18.1 billion placed in Q3 2015 (representing 31.7% of 57.1 EUR bn) and EUR 24.3 billion placed in Q4 2014 (representing 40.6% of 59.8 EUR bn)In Q4 2015, UK RMBS led placed totals followed by Pan European CLOs and German Auto: UK RMBS increased from 3.8 EUR bn in Q3 2015 to 6.1 EUR bn in Q4 2015; Pan European CLOs increased from 2.5 EUR bn in Q3 2015 to 3.5 EUR bn in Q4 2015; German Auto ABS decreased from 2.2 EUR bn in Q3 2015 to 1.6 EUR bn in Q4 2015.
Prudential Data Report: EU GSIBs Prudential Capital - Q3 2015
1 Dec 2015
Highlights European systemically important banks (or EU-GSIBs1.) continue improving their capital and leverage positions during 3Q15, in compliance with CRDIV. The CRDIV rules comprise minimum requirements on capital adequacy, liquidity and leverage positions, which seek to enhance the soundness of bank’s balance sheets. Among the main findings of this report are: EU GSIBs increased their end-point Common Equity Tier 1 Capital ratio (CET1 ratio) to 11.5% in 3Q15, from 11.4% in 2Q15 and 10% in 4Q13. End-point Tier 1 ratios increased in the third quarter of the year to 12.7%, from 12.5% in 2Q15 and 10.7% in 4Q13. Leverage ratios also continue improving in 3Q15, with a simple average ratio of 4.6% in 3Q15 calculated on an end-point basis, from 4.5% in 2Q15 and 3.8% in 4Q13. The findings of this report are consistent with the observed increase in aggregate capital raising since 2009 (see graph in left panel). Since the 2009 crisis, EU banks have raised around €318bn in fresh capital from the markets, of which €254bn is in equity and €64bn in CoCos and other convertible debt (in total about 2.3% of EU28 GDP at current prices). This estimate, however, does not take into account capital raised through internal generation (retained earnings) and balance sheet restructuring.
European High Yield and Leveraged Loan Report: Q3 2015
20 Nov 2015
Highlights European leveraged finance issuance (leveraged loans and high yield bonds) decreased in 3Q’15 to €23.7 billion, a 56.9% decrease from €55.0 billion quarter-over-quarter (q-o-q) and a 39.3% decrease from €39.0 billion in 3Q’14. The quarterly decrease stems from the large fall in high yield bond issuance, which decreased by 71.2% in the third quarter of 2015 while the leveraged loan issuance decreased by 40.0%; the high yield share of the leveraged finance market decreased to 36.2%, down from 54.2% in 2Q’15. Market and Economic Environment According to the October 2015 European Central Bank lending survey, credit standards for loans to enterprises, consumer credit and loans to households other than for house purchase eased in net terms while credit standards on loans to households for house purchase tightened in the third quarter of 2015, continuing to support the re-covery of loan growth. In 3Q’15, euro area banks report-ed a further net easing of credit standards on loans to en-terprises for the sixth consecutive quarter, driven in par-ticular by banks’ competition and risk perceptions. Look-ing ahead to the fourth quarter of 2015, euro area banks expect a further net easing of credit standards on loans to enterprises. Across firm size, credit standards were eased mainly on loans to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and were broadly unchanged for large firms. Credit standards on loans to enterprises improved in Italy, remained unchanged in Germany, Spain and the Nether-lands and tightened in France. Net demand for loans to enterprises continued to increase in 3Q’15 mostly due to favorably low level of interest rates. The net percentage of banks reporting an increase in demand for loans to enterprises was 16%, up from 13% in the previous quarter. Banks reported a net increase in the demand for housing loans as well. The net percentage of banks reporting an increase in demand for housing loans in the third quarter was 33%, down from 49% in the previous quarter.
Equity Primary Markets and Trading Report: Q3 2015
28 Oct 2015
Highlights Equity underwriting accumulated a total of EUR 140.4 bn year-to-date (YtD) in total proceeds, a marginal decrease of 1.1% from the value observed in the first three quarters of 2014 (EUR 141.9 bn). Equity underwriting encompasses Initial Public Offerings (IPOs), convertible securities and follow-on offerings. Mergers and Acquisitions of European target or acquiring companies accumulated EUR 587 bn YtD in deal value, a decrease of 8.6% from the value observed in the first three quarters of 2014 (EUR 643 bn). Equity trading activity in European MTS and exchanges accumulated a total of EUR 10 tn YtD in turnover value, a substantial increase from the observed in the first three quarters of 2014 (EUR 7.3 tn). Market capitalisation of European shares increased 2.7% YtD in 3Q15, standing at EUR 11.3 tn.
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