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European High Yield and Leveraged Loan Report: European Leveraged Finance - Q2 2016
18 Sep 2016
Highlights Issuance: European leveraged finance issuance (leveraged loans and high yield bonds) increased in 2Q’16 to €52.1 billion, a 22.0% increase from €42.6 billion in 1Q’16 and a 6.5% decrease from €55.7 billion in 2Q’15. The quarterly surge stems from the large increase in high yield bonds issuance, whichincreased by 195.6% in the second quarter of 2016 while leveraged loan issuance decreased by 36.3%; the high yield bond share of the leveraged finance market increased to61%, up from 25.2% in 1Q’16 and up from 54.8% in 2Q’15. Market and Economic Environment: According to the July 2016 European Central Bank lending survey, in the second quarter of 2016, improving loan supply conditions for enterprises and the continued increase in loan demand across all loan categories suggested an ongoingrecovery in loan growth. The net easing on credit standards for loans to enterprises in 2Q’16 was stronger than the historical average calculated over the period since the start of the survey in 2003. Competition remained the main factorbehind the net easing of credit standards on loans to enterprises while risk perceptions and banks’ reduced cost of funds contributed only marginally to such easing. Issuance: Leveraged Loans: Leveraged loan issuance, including first lien, second lien, and mezzanine financing, decreased in the second quarter of 2016 to €20.3 billion, down 36.3% q‐o‐q (€31.9 billion in 1Q’16) and 19.2% down y‐o‐y (€25.2 billion in 2Q’15). Issuance: High Yield Bonds: Primary high yield issuance in 2Q’16 totalled €31.8 billion on 55 deals, a 195.6% and 4% increase by euro amount, respectively, from 1Q’16 (€10.8 billion on 22 deals) and2Q’15 (€30.5 billion on 58 deals). High yield bond issuance increased in both developed and emerging market Europe in the second quarter of 2016. Returns & Credit Quality:The U.S. HY Distressed Index led returns in the second quarter of 2016 with 21.6% followed by Global Fallen Angel HY Index (6.5%) and U.S. HY (5.9%). Nineteen out of 20 assetclasses examined recorded positive returns while Euro HY CCC and lower rated bonds (‐0.8%) recorded losses in 2Q’16.
Securitisation Data Report: Q2 2016
21 Jul 2016
Market Highlights and Commentary Market Environment Economic conditions According to Eurostat, GDP rose by 0.3% quarter-over-quarter(QoQ) in the Euro zone (EU19) and by 0.4% in the EU28 duringthe second quarter of 2016. The unemployment rate stood at10.1% (EU19) and 8.6% (EU28) as of the end of June 2016, thelowest rate recorded since 2011 (EU19) and 2009 (EU28). Term Issuance and Outstanding Volumes In Q2 2016, EUR 74.5 billion of securitised product was issued inEurope, an increase of 31.0% from Q1 2016 (EUR 56.9 billion) andan increase of 49.2% from Q2 2015 (EUR 49.9 billion). Of the EUR74.5 billion issued, EUR 29.1 billion was placed, representing39.0% of issuance, compared to EUR 14.3 billion placed in Q12016 (representing 25.2%) and EUR 28.4 billion placed in Q22015 (representing 56.8%). For the second quarter, UK RMBS continued to lead placed totals(EUR 11.6 billion), followed by German auto (EUR 4.6 billion) andEuropean CLO (EUR 4.6 billion). Notably, the first peer-to-peer /marketplace lending securitisation appeared in Europe, a UK SMEdeal comprised of loans funded through the Funding Circleplatform. Net issuance was positive for the first time since the third quarterof 2014, with EUR 1.271 outstanding at the end of 2Q’16, up fromEUR 1.267 trillion at the end of 1Q’16. Of this, approximately EUR733.7 billion, or 57.7%, was retained. Credit Quality In Europe, upgrades outpaced downgrades in Q2 2016 amongEuropean securitised product, with upgrades concentrated inEuropean CLOs and prime RMBS. ABCP Trends European asset backed commercial paper (ABCP) issuance wasEUR 120.1 billion in Q2 2016, an increase of 25.3% QoQ and 16.7% YoY. Multiseller conduits continue to dominate as thelargest category of issuer in the ABCP market, particularly fromIreland and France. European ABCP outstandings decreasedslightly from the previous quarter, ending the second quarter atEUR 15.3 billion, down by 14.7% from EUR 17.9 billion in Q12016.
European High Yield and Leveraged Loan Report: European Leveraged Finance - Q1 2016
17 Jun 2016
Issuance highlights European leveraged finance issuance (leveraged loans and high yield bonds) decreased in 1Q’16 to €22.6 billion, a 12.0% decrease from €25.6 billion quarter-over-quarter (q-o-q) and a 62.5% decrease from €60.1 billion in 1Q’15. The quarterly decrease stems from the large fall in high yield bonds issuance, which decreased by 24.1% in the first quarter of 2016 while leveraged loan issuance increased by 2.9%; the high yield bond share of the leveraged finance market decreased to 47.3%, down from 54.9% in 4Q’15 and down from 62.8% in 1Q’15. Market and economic environment According to the April 2016 European Central Bank lending survey, in the first quarter of 2016, improving loan supply conditions for enterprises and the continued increase in loan demand across all loan categories suggested an ongoing recovery in loan growth. The net easing on credit standards for loans to enterprises in 1Q’16 was stronger than the historical average calculated over the period since the start of the survey in 2003. Competition remained the main factor behind the net easing of credit standards on loans to enterprises while risk perceptions and banks’ reduced cost of funds contributed only marginally to such easing. Across firm size, credit standards were eased more strongly for loans to large firms than to small and medium-sized enterprises. For the large euro area countries, credit standards on loans to enterprises eased in Italy and Germany, while remaining unchanged in Spain and the Netherlands and continuing to tighten in France in net terms. Credit standards on housing loans tightened and remained below the historical average since 2003. The net tightening was largely driven by the implementation of the EU mortgage credit directive and by a net tightening impact of banks’ risk tolerance. Looking ahead to the second quarter of 2016, euro banks expect a further net easing in standards on loans to enterprises and consumer credit but continued net tightening of standards for housing loans. Net demand increased for all types of loans in 1Q’16 and banks forecasted a further net increase in the demand for loans in the second quarter.
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